CORPORATE FINANCE
Session 2
Outline
Main textbook for the course : Brealey and Myers,
Principles of corporate finance, McGraw-Hill
A. The practice of capital
expenditure & performance evaluation
Capital budgets and projects
authorizations
The criteria actually used
Problems and some solutions
Ensuring that forecasts
are consistent
Eliminating conflicts of
interest
Reducing forecast bias
Getting senior mgt the
information it needs
Strategic fit
Evalutating performance
The example of biases coming from
ROI
B. Corporate financing and the six
lessons of market efficiency
Examples of trade-offs
Always back to NPV
What is an efficient market
Efficient markets follows random
walks
On average mutual funds don't do
better than the market
The six lessons to remember about
market efficiency :
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Markets have no memory : If from
the past track of a security we could forecast a bit its future price
everybody would do it and the price of the security would instantaneously
reach that future price ; therefore at the price where a security is it is
as likely next to up or down, and the mean is zero. It follows a random
walk.
Trust market prices : If the price
of a security was too low everybody would know it and buy that security,
therefore the price would go up. Same with an overvalued security.
Therefore the prices of securities are fair.
Security prices can tell
us a lot about the future (the Viacom example) : If a firm issues a
bond with an unusually high return that means it is in trouble and needs
urgently money.
There are no financial
illusions : A stock split does not create any value. Stock prices
are once in a while split only to facilitate purchases by small buyers,
and for psychological reasons : to avoid too big figures.
The do-it-yourself
alternative : A corporation that "diversifies to reduce the
risk taken by its stockholders" does not protect them any better than
they could do it themselves, usually less well.
Seen one stock, seen them
all : If one stock was notoriously better than the others everybody
would know it and its price would go up. Therefore all stocks are
equivalent.
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Where do positive NPVs come from ? From work and competitive advantages.
One contradiction of financial markets : when two market players exchange
securities, there are no good reasons for that. (Note : Warren Buffet keeps its
securities for years.)